If you had a choice, would you take on more risk
if it meant more profit? Would you accept a lower profit for less
risk? How much profit does it take to make it worth taking on extra
risks? These are the questions that can only be answered by the
individual taking on risks. Some people avoid risks, while others
confront it head on. In this step of the strategic risk-management
process, or SRMP, we need to figure out which kind of person you are.
Since every investment involves risk, it is important to know how
risk tolerant we are. “Risk tolerance” is the amount of risk you are
willing to take on to achieve an investment goal. You can have three
different attitudes towards risk. Individuals who are afraid of, or
highly dislike, taking risks are known as “risk averse.” These
individuals will prefer an investment with a lower expected payoff if it
has less risk. An individual is said to be “risk-neutral” if she cares
only about the expected payoff of an investment and not the risk she has
to take to achieve her investment goal. Such individuals will neither
actively take risks nor pay to avoid them. An individual who actively
engages in risky investments is referred to as “risk-seeking.”
You can see what your risk tolerance is with a simple example.
Suppose you have just harvested your wheat. You have been offered
$20,000 for the entire crop by your local elevator. If you store your
wheat, you figure you have a 75 percent chance of the price being
$26,000 and a 25 percent chance of a getting $10,000 if prices fall. The
expected value of storage would then be $22,000 (.75 x 26,000 + .25 x
10,000). This presents a dilemma. Would you take on the risk of storage
to gain a “risk premium” of $2,000 ($22,000 with risk versus $20,000
without it)? You would be better off with $2,000 in the long run, but
getting $10,000 for your crop 25 percent of the time. Would it change
your mind if the risk premium were $4,000 or $400?
The SRMP can help you determine your risk tolerance. One method
involves filling out a questionnaire, which consists of a series of
questions concerning different situations involving risk. Each answer
has a score reflecting your risk tolerance and there is no right or
wrong answer. At the end of the questionnaire, you will be asked to add
up your score and told how risk averse you are. Another approach finds
your risk premium by asking some questions about how you trade off risk
and returns. By knowing your risk premium, you can determine whether an
investment that makes less money and has less risk would be preferred to
one that makes more money but with more risk.